ACCORDING to the observations at 3:30 pm MST on 12 May of the Department of Meteorology and Hydrology, the very severe cyclonic storm “Mocha” over the central Bay of Bengal and adjoining southeast Bay of Bengal has moved north-northeastwards and now lies over the central Bay of Bengal. It is centred at about 295 nautical miles west of Cocokyun, 370 nautical miles west-southwest of Hainggyikyun, 450 nautical miles south-southwest of Sittway, 300 nautical miles northwest of Port Blair (India) and 490 nautical miles south-southwest of Cox’s Bazar (Bangladesh).
The very severe cyclonic storm “Mocha ”is likely to continue to move north-northeastwards and intensify into an extremely severe cyclonic storm “Mocha” over the east-central Bay of Bengal on 12 May night and is forecast to cross between Cox’s Bazar (Bangladesh) and Kyaukpyu (Myanmar) near Sittway (Myanmar) as a very severe cyclonic storm “Mocha” around 14.5.2023
-It is expected that the maximum wind speed will be 90-110 miles per hour in the squall.
-If the wind speed in squalls reaches 90-110 miles per hour, the wave height may reach 9-16 feet. Therefore, the people living in low-lying areas of under 16 feet should make preparations to evacuate to the nearest cyclone shelters or highlands and place the essential personal equipment in the new locations in advance to overcome the disaster with the least losses.
- The regions in Sittway and Maungtaw townships which are located on the pathway of the storm can face floods if the wave is high. According to the prediction, the storm surge will cause floods and it can affect eastern parts from the estuary to Taungpyoletwe along the Naf River, left and right parts from the Meyu estuary to Rathedaung, Buthidaung townships along the Meyu River.
-Moreover, if the storm surge is about 16 feet, there will be floods in the vicinity areas of Maungtaw, Rathedaung, Buthidaung, Sittway, Ponnagyun, Kyauktaw, MraukU, Phayonka Island, Minbya, Myebon, Kanhtaunggyi, Kyaukpyu and Manaung townships.
- Similarly, if the storm surge is about 16 feet, Thandwe, Thabyuchaing, Maungshwelaychaing, Ngapali and vicinity areas of Gwa – Alalchaung, Yaytwintuu, Yahinphya and Kinsharshay can be also flooded.
- Therefore, those who live above mentioned townships and villages should evacuate to the nearest cyclone shelters or safe highlands in time so they can overcome the storm with the least losses.
-The path of storm and wind speed can change from time to time and the warnings will be released in a timely manner.
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